Sports wagering can be very profitable if a person know the secrets the particular “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make income. Most significant secrets that sensible money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a perfect example. I actually analyzed this Western Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Virginia had often the edge in the sport. Yet , We also recognized that there initially were a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:
West California versus Louisville
This sport offers all the indicators of being one of the best games regarding the year, using equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming rear from appearing down massive in the final 1 fourth to winning around overtime.
So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?
If this sport were turning into played in some sort of fairly neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROAD games.
These are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular extra reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like significantly, but in a shut match-up such as this, that more point will certainly make the distinction between the push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home activities.
And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since January eighteen, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points for each game in home. In case you didn’t do the mathmatical, that means since their last home loss they have already averaged beating their own adversaries by means of about 34 factors per game.
In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per online game at home given that the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Nearly all of those stats have been piled up during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. บาคาร่าสายฟ้า have possessed recent games in which they also have only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. Many people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
In essence the fact that this is still the close match to call up. Although what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this specific game and not guarantee at all. There will be better games this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.
The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a punt for the TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border had not been so big they may still win right after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular game, people serious regarding gambling saved money they can offer better use on upcoming games.